$NAT $NAT · BITCOIN'S SECURITY, TOKENIZED

THE NAT ARMORY

One link, every weapon.

Find your weapon — start from your situation
01

The Case

Start here. The thesis, interactive — read it before you argue it.

Security Budget Explorable card
The flagship · start here Security Budget Explorable

The security-budget cliff, interactive — the whole case in one scroll, halvings to fee gap. If you send one link, send this one.

Fee clock card
Fee clockOPEN →

The budget question with a clock on it.

NAT adoption tracker card
NAT adoption trackerOPEN →

Live per-pool receipts, decoded from the blocks.

NAT meter card
NAT meterOPEN →

The second subsidy ticking, present tense.

FAQ card
The FAQOPEN →

What $NAT is, what it isn't — straight answers.

The Videos card
The VideosOPEN →

Watch it instead — every explainer with the graphics from each episode.

02

The Ammo

The reply kit. Copy a link, drop the card — never argue in your own words what a card already says better.

Reply Arsenal card
The Reply ArsenalOPEN →

Seven cards, copy a link, drop the card.

Adam Back objections card
Adam Back: Objections, On the RecordOPEN →

His twelve replies (Aug 2025), quoted verbatim and answered by scenes you can run.

match the claim in front of you · tap to copy its link · ↗ opens it · each link unfurls its own card in the thread

Claim-matched presets card
Claim-Matched Presets

The explorable, preset to the claim in front of you — link the one that matches.

tap a path to copy its link · ↗ opens it

03

The Wall

The problem, in their words — we didn't invent the security-budget question.

Sourced, verbatim statements on Bitcoin's long-term security budget — from Satoshi to peer-reviewed research. Every quote links to its live source.

Once a predetermined number of coins have entered circulation, the incentive can transition entirely to transaction fees and be completely inflation free.

Translation

Satoshi Nakamoto
Bitcoin whitepaper §6 “Incentive” · Oct 2008
source ↗
something more like 0.5% to 1.5% of market capitalization spent on security would probably be appropriate.

Translation

Lyn Alden
“Bitcoin: Fee-Based Security Modeling” · Mar 2021
source ↗
I think there is general agreement that Bitcoin's long-term thermodynamic security is an important issue that's currently up in the air with regard to sustainability.

Translation

Jameson Lopp
“A Treatise on Bitcoin Block Space Economics” · Mar 2025
source ↗
Personally, I'm pulling out the champaign that market behaviour is indeed producing activity levels that can pay for security without inflation, and also producing fee paying backlogs needed to stabilize consensus progress as the subsidy declines.

Translation

Gregory Maxwell
bitcoin-dev · “Total fees have almost crossed the block reward” · Dec 2017
source ↗
the recurring, 'flow', payments to miners for running the blockchain must be large relative to the one-off, 'stock', benefits of attacking it.

Translation

Eric Budish
NBER Working Paper 24717 · Jun 2018
source ↗
With only transaction fees, the variance of the block reward is very high … and it becomes attractive to fork a 'wealthy' block to 'steal' the rewards therein.

Translation

Carlsten, Kalodner, Weinberg & Narayanan
ACM CCS · “On the Instability of Bitcoin Without the Block Reward” · 2016
source ↗
If a robust blockspace market doesn't develop, we explain why a decline in block rewards poses a substantial risk for the future.

Translation

Hasu, James Prestwich & Brandon Curtis
Uncommon Core · Oct 2019
source ↗
Bitcoin's “security budget” is the total amount of money we pay to miners … When this value is low, 51% attacks are cheap.

Translation

Paul Sztorc
Truthcoin · “Security Budget in the Long Run” · Feb 2019
source ↗
Bitcoin's block reward is scheduled to decline to zero, raising concerns about whether the network can remain secure once miners rely solely on transaction fees.

Translation

Junhyuk Lee
arXiv · “Bitcoin After Block Rewards” · Jun 2026
source ↗
If mining is not profitable due to a high cost and low reward, miners lose their incentive and will stop mining, reducing the security of the network.

Translation

Monero Project
getmonero.org · Moneropedia · “Tail Emission”
source ↗

Quoted on the problem — not the product. No endorsement implied. Each excerpt is a short, verbatim quotation of a published statement about Bitcoin's security budget. Inclusion here does not imply any author agrees with, or is aware of, any particular solution. Photographs identify the author of a quoted statement and are used for attribution only.